Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.62K
- Potential profit
- $20.62K
- User PnL
- -$5.5K
Polymarket Trader
Lpuss
0xfc51627cc66abf4600196d8071f69bc26b339aa4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $260.14
- Realized PnL
- $33.73K
- Win rate
- 71.4%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.1K
- Potential profit
- $10.1K
- User PnL
- -$1.3K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.01K
- Potential profit
- $10.01K
- User PnL
- -$3.1K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.41K
- Potential profit
- $4.41K
- User PnL
- -$600
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $260.14
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $3.74K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$1.41K
Yes position
Odds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.58K
- Potential profit
- $2.58K
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.11K
- Potential profit
- $2.11K
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 12, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$1.4K
Yes position
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.71K
- Potential profit
- $1.71K
- User PnL
- -$1K
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.46K
- Potential profit
- $1.46K
- User PnL
- -$900
Yes position
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $370.37
- Potential profit
- $370.37
- User PnL
- -$100
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.29K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.62K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $562.53
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.64
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 10, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$296.34
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.72K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes 1.6% 4,816.88 shares
- Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes 67% 2,184.18 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes 99.8% 39,571.86 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?Yes 12.9% 10,095.87 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes 30% 13,333.33 shares
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 10, 2026?Yes 0.6% 615.1 shares
- Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?Yes 9.5% 2,111.77 shares
- Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 61.6% 1,460.44 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes 31% 10,008.06 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes 37.4% 4,816.88 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes 62.8% 3,182.86 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 41.7% 4,002.22 shares