Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.4%
- Current value
- $818.97
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $199.65
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$19.66
Polymarket Trader
AlphaGooo
@5firewall
0xfc55935e1b17ac958bc7cdf3d000d88f21c0b21d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.65K
- Realized PnL
- $5.14K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $800
- User PnL
- -$187.99
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $276.5
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $423.5
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$21.5
No position
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $555.02
- Potential payout
- $578.15
- Potential profit
- $23.13
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $122.52
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$280
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $3
- Potential payout
- $399.99
- Potential profit
- $396.99
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$41
Yes position
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of May 11 above $430?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$171.5
Up position
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $198.16
- Potential profit
- $198.16
- User PnL
- -$88
Up position
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $153.04
- Potential profit
- $153.04
- User PnL
- -$75.27
Up position
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$95.5
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $128.93
- Potential profit
- $128.93
- User PnL
- -$63.6
Yes position
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of May 11 above $435?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $126
- Potential profit
- $126
- User PnL
- -$77.98
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$29
No position
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.2
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.8
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.2
Yes position
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of May 11 above $425?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $99.99
- User PnL
- -$67.99
No position
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$51
No position
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.04
- Potential profit
- $41.04
- User PnL
- -$32.83
Up position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.74
- Potential profit
- $20.74
- User PnL
- -$9.54
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $619.6
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $553.27
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $335.93
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $258.74
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $248.8
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $246
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $233.1
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 30?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230.45
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $222
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $221
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $205.4
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174.87
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 27?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $151.5
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148.28
Yes position
Will Google reach $375 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.84
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.37
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.48
Yes position
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $115
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.24
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.44
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 19?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.68
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on June 18?No 82.5% 156.29 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 64.9% 300 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes 65.3% 426.75 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Yes 48.9% 322.73 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Yes 59.7% 114.85 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 83.8% 300 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Yes 86.4% 115.79 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes 88.2% 226.76 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Yes 87.3% 343.64 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 17?Up 99.9% 691.27 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 46% 800 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 53% 400 shares