No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.14K
- Potential profit
- $20.14K
- User PnL
- -$6K
Polymarket Trader
Anomander
0xfc5ab5f6a24aabc0ec88fa4b4300fe642eb31ca2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $437.93
- Realized PnL
- $4.7K
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.12K
- Potential profit
- $2.12K
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.12K
- Potential profit
- $2.12K
- User PnL
- -$220.43
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.84K
- Potential profit
- $1.84K
- User PnL
- -$139.21
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.77K
- Potential profit
- $1.77K
- User PnL
- -$454.29
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.65K
- Potential profit
- $1.65K
- User PnL
- -$279.73
Yes position
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.7%
- Current value
- $437.93
- Potential payout
- $863.76
- Potential profit
- $425.83
- Multiplier
- 1.97x
- User PnL
- $216.83
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $806.45
- Potential profit
- $806.45
- User PnL
- -$250
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $750.29
- Potential profit
- $750.29
- User PnL
- -$180
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $734.27
- Potential profit
- $734.27
- User PnL
- -$225.72
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $625.32
- Potential profit
- $625.32
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$35
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $495.73
- Potential profit
- $495.73
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Israeli troops enter Suwayda by July 31?
Ends Aug 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $117.65
- Potential profit
- $117.65
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $112.72
- Potential profit
- $112.72
- User PnL
- -$31
Yes position
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.33
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Israel strike Syria on July 18?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.04
- Potential profit
- $37.04
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $348.37
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $331.48
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $302.69
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $287.03
No position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $286.12
No position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $245.4
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177.78
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170.31
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170.27
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165.13
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.1
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.97
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.05
Yes position
Trump wins every swing state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.26
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 11, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.19
Yes position
US military action against Iran before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.64
No position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.61
No position
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.96
No position
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.39
No position
Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.43
No position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Yes position
Will Man Utd win on 2024-11-03?
Ends Nov 3, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Arsenal win on 2024-11-02?
Ends Nov 2, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Yes 25.6% 863.76 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?Yes 26% 978.42 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?Yes 10% 500 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 24% 750.29 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?Yes 16% 625.32 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?Yes 27% 370.37 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Yes 32.3% 309.55 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?Yes 7.6% 1,315.79 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?Yes 6.2% 808.94 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?Yes 24% 416.67 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Yes 29.6% 424.72 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 4.7% 3,678.33 shares