Polymarket Trader

ioschaz

0xfc5b1d092ab9db8bfb32fe4b4836fb159fc5506e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $173.22
Realized PnL: $59.61
Win rate: 80%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $88.62
Potential payout: $208.52
Potential profit: $119.9
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$11.47

No position

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $31.28
Potential payout: $75.38
Potential profit: $44.1
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$2.59

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.69
Potential profit: $63.69
User PnL: -$10.19

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $36.5
Potential payout: $45.34
Potential profit: $8.84
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$1.99

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.26
Potential profit: $42.26
User PnL: -$40.19

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $16.82
Potential payout: $17.43
Potential profit: $0.61
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.14

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.86

Yes position

Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.86

Cavaliers position

Heat vs. Cavaliers

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.31

Pistons position

Warriors vs. Pistons

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.53

No position

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.97

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.7

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Warriors position

Lakers vs. Warriors

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.75

No position

Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10.13

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

No 95.7% 17.43 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 95.1% 42.26 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 7, 2026?

No 7% 63.29 shares
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?

No 92.9% 13.55 shares
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Yes 16% 63.69 shares
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?

Yes 96.3% 17.33 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

No 95% 13.98 shares
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?

No 89% 11.38 shares
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?

No 88% 5.1 shares
Heat vs. Cavaliers

Cavaliers 67% 13.07 shares
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?

Yes 37.8% 11.03 shares
Warriors vs. Pistons

Pistons 70% 5.11 shares