Polymarket Trader

0xfc631c76421430b3916D578165b6B50DF24F596f-1774484470727

0xfc631c76421430b3916d578165b6b50df24f596f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $392.39
Realized PnL: $16.81
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 4
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $74.35
Potential payout: $2.01K
Potential profit: $1.94K
Multiplier: 27.03x
User PnL: -$176.91

No position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $93.15
Potential payout: $230
Potential profit: $136.85
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $24.15

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $38.66
Potential payout: $131.06
Potential profit: $92.4
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$1.34

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $128.89
Potential payout: $129.21
Potential profit: $0.32
User PnL: $13.89

No position

Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77.92
Potential profit: $77.92
User PnL: -$60

No position

Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $42.68
Potential payout: $48.78
Potential profit: $6.1
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $2.68

Yes position

Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $4.09
Potential payout: $30.3
Potential profit: $26.21
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$5.91

No position

Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $10.56
Potential payout: $11.3
Potential profit: $0.73
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.28

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.31

No position

US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.67

Yes position

Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$0.66

No position

Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 34%
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: -$21.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?

No 4% 503.15 shares
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?

No 8.5% 235.85 shares
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?

No 8.6% 565.6 shares
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?

No 7.7% 150.64 shares
Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?

No 12.1% 70.42 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?

No 89% 129.21 shares
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No 91% 11.3 shares
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Yes 2.7% 339.74 shares
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

No 30% 230 shares
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Yes 2.9% 339.74 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Yes 65% 92.31 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?

Yes 5% 200 shares