Polymarket Trader

Luke757575

0xfc6b575175c0d4f193ef088d6dade4e15457afc9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $2.62K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $644
Potential profit: $644
User PnL: -$199.64

Packers position

Eagles vs. Packers

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.44
Potential profit: $111.44
User PnL: -$55.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8PM ET

Ends Sep 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38
Potential profit: $38
User PnL: -$16.72

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $496.94

Yes position

Israel military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $398.97

Yes position

Another US military action against Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $396.35

Yes position

Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $306.54

Yes position

Iran strike on Israel by Friday?

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $261.48

Yes position

Israel military action against Iran before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $140

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 1AM ET

Ends Aug 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 2PM ET

Ends Aug 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.04

No position

Will Powell say "Downbeat" during July Press Conference?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.5

Yes position

Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk's net worth be more than $370b on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.59

Yes position

Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Another Israel strike on Yemen in July?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.2

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: June

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 12AM ET

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.16

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 1AM ET

Ends Aug 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16

No position

Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Yankees position

Yankees vs. Rangers

Ends Aug 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.61

Yes position

Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week?

Ends May 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.28

No position

Iran Nuke in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.81

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 9AM ET

Ends Aug 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?

Yes 10% 60.03 shares
Eagles vs. Packers

Packers 50% 99.44 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?

Yes 5% 983 shares
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?

Yes 31% 644 shares
Iran Nuke in 2025?

No 93% 0.25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 12AM ET

Up 63% 116.62 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 12AM ET

Down 38% 50 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 12AM ET

Down 41% 50 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 1PM ET

Down 31% 50 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 10AM ET

Down 2% 400 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 9AM ET

Down 77% 60 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 1AM ET

Up 17% 30 shares