No position
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.94K
- Potential profit
- $35.94K
- User PnL
- -$125.46
Polymarket Trader
CapMachine
0xfc7a9e26dbc8626ab39ef6283714829f0edde98f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.64
- Realized PnL
- $197.03
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US strikes Yemen by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.41K
- Potential profit
- $11.41K
- User PnL
- -$34.23
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $960.12
- Potential profit
- $960.12
- User PnL
- -$2.88
Yes position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $384.62
- Potential profit
- $384.62
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $170.21
- Potential profit
- $170.21
- User PnL
- -$0.96
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $96.04
- Potential profit
- $96.04
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $96.04
- Potential profit
- $96.04
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Yes position
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $82.54
- Potential profit
- $82.54
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $75
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $72.22
- Potential profit
- $72.22
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $66.67
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.19
- Potential profit
- $58.19
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $2.64
- Potential payout
- $58.13
- Potential profit
- $55.49
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.95
- Potential profit
- $55.95
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $55.56
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.26
- Potential profit
- $55.26
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.56
- Potential profit
- $51.56
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48.04
- Potential profit
- $48.04
- User PnL
- -$0.96
No position
GPT ads by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.75
- Potential profit
- $47.75
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.51
- Potential profit
- $46.51
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.56
Yes position
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.5
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.08
Yes position
More EU sanctions on Russia by October 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.35
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.29
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.27
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,900 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.96
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.5
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.11
No position
Israel parliament dissolved in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.99
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.47
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.56
Yes position
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.79
No position
French election called by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.77
Yes position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.61
Yes position
Will Trump designate ANTIFA a terrorist organization by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.1
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.06
No position
Will Trump say "Little Rocket Man" in October?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
No position
Will courts block Trump's 100k H1b by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.66
No position
Will Oracle say "Sovereign" during earnings call?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $2.38
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
No position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.32
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?Yes 14% 7.14 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Yes 23% 4.35 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Yes 24% 12.5 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?Yes 3.9% 25.64 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Yes 5.2% 58.13 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Yes 12% 25 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?No 9% 55.56 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?No 21% 4.76 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?No 9% 11.11 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?No 3.9% 25.64 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?No 3.9% 25.92 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?No 1.8% 55.95 shares