Polymarket Trader

TKANDZ

0xfc83d669a3ba730dd0a73a8c547d78181cdbe1aa

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $432.54
Realized PnL: $9.27K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $30.09
Potential payout: $30.14
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $30.02
Potential payout: $30.02
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.4

No position

Will the Republican Party win the OH-01 House seat?

Ends Nov 4, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $24.11
Potential payout: $29.4
Potential profit: $5.29
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $0.96

No position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $28.63
Potential payout: $28.63
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $3.15

No position

Will BNP Paribas fail by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $28.61
Potential payout: $28.61
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.92

No position

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 93.3%
Current value: $26.59
Potential payout: $28.51
Potential profit: $1.92
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.73

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 8.1%
Current value: $2.24
Potential payout: $27.87
Potential profit: $25.63
Multiplier: 12.42x
User PnL: -$17.85

No position

Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $26.52
Potential payout: $26.7
Potential profit: $0.17
User PnL: -$0.15

No position

Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $23.13
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $1.88
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $9.42

No position

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $19.76
Potential payout: $24.7
Potential profit: $4.94
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $2.06

No position

Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $24.6
Potential payout: $24.6
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $14.38
Potential payout: $24.16
Potential profit: $9.79
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $1.09

No position

Will Jeremy Moss be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 13.6%
Current value: $3.12
Potential payout: $23.05
Potential profit: $19.92
Multiplier: 7.38x
User PnL: -$1.72

Yes position

Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $18.74
Potential payout: $21.79
Potential profit: $3.05
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $9.64

No position

Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 62%
Current value: $12.8
Potential payout: $20.64
Potential profit: $7.84
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: -$1.65

No position

Will Bill Cassidy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $20.39
Potential payout: $20.39
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.04

No position

Will Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?

Ends Jan 25, 2027

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $18.6
Potential payout: $20.11
Potential profit: $1.51
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $3.3
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $16.7
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $1.87
Potential payout: $19.72
Potential profit: $17.85
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$3.06

No position

Will the Democratic Party win the CA-48 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $2.61
Potential payout: $19.31
Potential profit: $16.71
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$0.48

No position

Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.7%
Current value: $17.1
Potential payout: $18.86
Potential profit: $1.75
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$0.85

No position

Will Camilo Santana finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $18.72
Potential payout: $18.85
Potential profit: $0.12
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $18.76
Potential payout: $18.79
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $17.84
Potential payout: $18.69
Potential profit: $0.85
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.39

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $908.22

No position

US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $588.88

Yes position

Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $580.36

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $559.3

Yes position

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.4%
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $472.82

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $427.51

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $413.52

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $377.86

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $364.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $346.89

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $342.09

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $326.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $326.31

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $319.55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $315.51

No position

Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $307.32

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $303.51

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $294.91

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $294.74

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $294.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $276.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $275.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $275.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $272.33

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET

Down 44% 3.5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET

Down 1% 13.69 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET

Down 44% 5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET

Down 27.3% 41.09 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET

Down 20% 2.5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET

Down 87.2% 27.39 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET

Down 69% 3 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET

Down 92.6% 22.26 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET

Down 95% 5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

Down 80% 14.66 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

Up 45% 10 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

Up 44.2% 7.07 shares