Polymarket Trader

0xFc8BDE0D809AE657C55d556BE56Adb951d1eA92F-1761807655527

0xfc8bde0d809ae657c55d556be56adb951d1ea92f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $45.58
Realized PnL: $788.35
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $554.37
Potential profit: $554.37
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $403.59
Potential profit: $403.59
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $402.63
Potential profit: $402.63
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $337.93
Potential profit: $337.93
User PnL: -$98

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $322.34
Potential profit: $322.34
User PnL: -$56

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $310.97
Potential profit: $310.97
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $259.2
Potential profit: $259.2
User PnL: -$37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $226.02
Potential profit: $226.02
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $225.72
Potential profit: $225.72
User PnL: -$41.34

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $222.22
Potential profit: $222.22
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $204.08
Potential profit: $204.08
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $203.45
Potential profit: $203.45
User PnL: -$59

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $190.5
Potential profit: $190.5
User PnL: -$9.52

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $187.32
Potential profit: $187.32
User PnL: -$20.53

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $134.82
Potential profit: $134.82
User PnL: -$16.18

Mumbai Indians position

Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Mumbai Indians

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130.43
Potential profit: $130.43
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130.32
Potential profit: $130.32
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $45.58
Potential payout: $112.53
Potential profit: $66.96
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$2.81

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$20

Punjab Kings position

Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royals

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110.98
Potential profit: $110.98
User PnL: -$26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110.03
Potential profit: $110.03
User PnL: -$26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $85.62
Potential profit: $85.62
User PnL: -$11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170.61

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $56.61

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.98

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.06

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.21

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.86

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $42.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $34.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.85

Delhi Capitals position

Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitals

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.95

Rajasthan Royals position

Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royals

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.69

Lucknow Super Giants position

Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Kolkata Knight Riders

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.96

Rajasthan Royals position

Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royals - Who wins the toss?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.82

Kolkata Knight Riders position

Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Riders

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.44

Yes position

Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.77

Sunrisers Hyderabad position

Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Sunrisers Hyderabad

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.98

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 43% 112.53 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 24.5% 204.08 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Yes 27% 104.32 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Yes 33.6% 74.32 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Yes 32% 30 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Yes 30.3% 276.86 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Yes 10.8% 276.86 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 18% 111.11 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Yes 57% 102.26 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Yes 57.1% 103.3 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Yes 25.2% 126.26 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Yes 19.8% 126.26 shares