Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $575
- Potential profit
- $575
- User PnL
- -$391.58
Polymarket Trader
0x46326
0xfc9062ee2bdc16382bba1e5497ab2027fe8990b0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $410.45
- Realized PnL
- $1.91K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $509.47
- Potential profit
- $509.47
- User PnL
- -$394.69
No position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $410.45
- Potential payout
- $426
- Potential profit
- $15.55
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $18.53
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $457.97
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $169.07
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165.76
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $158.44
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.6
No position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.96
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.94
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $86.86
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.92
No position
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $75.88
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.61
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.58
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.45
No position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.04
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $34.56
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.72
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $27.5
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.52
Yes position
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.71
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?No 79% 120 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 93% 83.64 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?No 77% 385.04 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?No 94.7% 75.59 shares
- Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?No 92% 426 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 68.1% 16 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?No 84% 389.41 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?No 62% 38 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?No 63% 500 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?No 62% 45.72 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No 89% 384 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?No 66% 518 shares