Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $340
- Potential profit
- $340
- User PnL
- -$10.2
Polymarket Trader
ariad
0xfc96d18bcfd225fe01caa0d943beba4f0007adac
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $877.78
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $170
- Potential profit
- $170
- User PnL
- -$5.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$8.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.96
- Potential profit
- $99.96
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$3.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$3.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$3.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$3.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$3.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.99
- Potential profit
- $49.99
- User PnL
- -$3.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.98
- Potential profit
- $49.98
- User PnL
- -$3.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.98
- Potential profit
- $49.98
- User PnL
- -$3.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.98
- Potential profit
- $49.98
- User PnL
- -$3.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.98
- Potential profit
- $49.98
- User PnL
- -$3.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.98
- Potential profit
- $49.98
- User PnL
- -$3.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.98
- Potential profit
- $49.98
- User PnL
- -$3.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.98
- Potential profit
- $46.98
- User PnL
- -$2.19
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.39
- Potential profit
- $40.39
- User PnL
- -$2.02
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.18
- Potential profit
- $40.18
- User PnL
- -$3.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.48
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.96
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.85
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.24
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.07
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.04
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ETUp 96% 50 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ETUp 5% 50 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ETUp 7% 50 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ETUp 6.1% 50 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ETUp 5.5% 23.69 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ETUp 5% 50 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ETDown 93.9% 50 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ETDown 92% 50 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ETDown 92% 50 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ETDown 94% 50 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETDown 6% 50 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETDown 6% 50 shares