No position
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $36.87
- Potential payout
- $156.89
- Potential profit
- $120.02
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- $1.87
Polymarket Trader
Rainz52
0xfc9f70c3af5cc1bcfc5851783cdc4b98025fd0ee
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $261.02
- Realized PnL
- $3.23
- Win rate
- 56.3%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 22.3%
- Current value
- $24.45
- Potential payout
- $109.89
- Potential profit
- $85.44
- Multiplier
- 4.49x
- User PnL
- -$5.55
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $2.03
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $77.97
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $40.65
- Potential payout
- $64.52
- Potential profit
- $23.87
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- $0.65
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $28.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $21.76
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$1.75
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.95
- Potential profit
- $40.95
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $4.83
- Potential payout
- $34.48
- Potential profit
- $29.66
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$5.17
No position
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $27.88
- Potential payout
- $32.05
- Potential profit
- $4.17
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $2.88
Yes position
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.77
- Potential profit
- $30.77
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $2.14
- Potential payout
- $28.57
- Potential profit
- $26.43
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $26.67
- Potential payout
- $26.67
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $6.67
No position
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $26.3
- Potential payout
- $26.32
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $16.3
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.73
- Potential profit
- $22.73
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.73
- Potential profit
- $22.73
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $3.09
- Potential payout
- $21.28
- Potential profit
- $18.19
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$6.91
Yes position
Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $7.95
- Potential payout
- $15.15
- Potential profit
- $7.2
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$2.05
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.63
- Potential profit
- $11.63
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Alexander Albon finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $5
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will Nico Hulkenberg finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $5
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $5.2
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $4.8
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Arvid Lindblad finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $5
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will Fernando Alonso finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $5
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will Esteban Ocon finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Current value
- $4.71
- Potential payout
- $9.42
- Potential profit
- $4.71
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.87
Yes position
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $10.95
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $5.42
Yes position
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.36
No position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- $4.55
No position
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $3.98
Yes position
Will Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.33
Yes position
Will "Anthropic" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.38
No position
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.47
Yes position
Will "War" or "Conflict" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience for the week (April 5)?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will "Trump" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience for the week (April 5)?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Another Canada election called by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.08
Yes position
Will Trump say "Keir" or "Starmer" during King Charles visit?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Trump say "Resurrection" or "Resurrected" or "Resurrect" during the Easter Lunch on Wednesday?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Trump say "Peace" during the Easter Lunch on Wednesday?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 60% 50 shares
- Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?No 95.1% 14.7 shares
- Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes 65% 47.61 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes 50% 10 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 75% 26.67 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes 7% 28.57 shares
- Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?Yes 65% 30.77 shares
- Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 2.5% 80 shares
- Another Canada election called by June 30?Yes 1.5% 62.5 shares
- Will Trump say "Keir" or "Starmer" during King Charles visit?Yes 42% 11.9 shares
- Will Fernando Alonso finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?No 52% 10 shares
- Will Alexander Albon finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?No 51% 10 shares