Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Current value
- $47.99
- Potential payout
- $51
- Potential profit
- $3.01
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $28.25
Polymarket Trader
0xfcad...30d8
0xfcad80c65cc618fe5b5d42ebf2f2b1e8556b30d8
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $47.99
- Realized PnL
- $11.19
- Win rate
- 23.8%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $3
- User PnL
- -$1.92
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Galatasaray advance to the round of 16?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.3
No position
Will Illinois win the 2025-2026 Big 10 Men's Basketball regular season championship?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
Yes position
Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
No position
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Trump resign in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Trump resign in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Canada join US as 51st state in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Tether insolvent in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Volodymyr Zelensky win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Alassane Ouattara win the 2025 Ivory Coast presidential election?
Ends Oct 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Fed rate hike in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Iran Nuke in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.17
No position
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Illinois win the 2025-2026 Big 10 Men's Basketball regular season championship?No 64.1% 5 shares
- Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?Yes 64% 3 shares
- Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight?Yes 64.8% 5 shares
- Will Galatasaray advance to the round of 16?Yes 69% 10 shares
- Will Galatasaray advance to the round of 16?Yes 69% 10 shares
- Will Galatasaray advance to the round of 16?Yes 70% 7 shares
- Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?Yes 6.5% 42.64 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2025?No 99% 42.71 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2025?Yes 0.7% 42.72 shares
- Will Canada join US as 51st state in 2025?No 98.8% 42.72 shares
- Iran Nuke in 2025?No 97.1% 42.87 shares
- Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No 99.8% 2 shares