Polymarket Trader

ascetic0x

@ascetic0x

0xfcbecc7e5186e88e03445b81f593685d62828f44

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.89K
Realized PnL: $172.31K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $1.47K
Potential payout: $8.42K
Potential profit: $6.94K
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$1.7K

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $5.22K
Potential payout: $8.35K
Potential profit: $3.13K
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$1.28K

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $1.07K
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $81.03
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$52.38

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $13.02
Potential payout: $13.03
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $13
User PnL: -$12.81

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $12.15
Potential payout: $12.17
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $12.06
Potential payout: $12.09
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $11.99
Potential payout: $12.02
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $54,000 on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $11.99
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $72,000 on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $11.98
Potential payout: $11.99
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $10.86
Potential payout: $11.06
Potential profit: $0.19
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $10.99
Potential payout: $11.01
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $10.99
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 94.9%
Current value: $9.56
Potential payout: $10.08
Potential profit: $0.52
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$0.44

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $9.93
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.07
User PnL: -$0.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on January 15?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.79K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on December 10?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.87K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.2K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on February 4?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.18K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.06K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.02K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.58K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.42K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.25K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.03K

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 19?

Ends Nov 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.57K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11AM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.3K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.22K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3PM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.14K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.99K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.88K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3PM ET

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.79K

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 16?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.71K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.66K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.63K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.62K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.53K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 18?

Yes 57% 90 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 18?

Yes 57% 630 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 18?

Yes 58% 619.54 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 18?

Up 15% 106.6 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 18?

Up 15.9% 1,047.99 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 18?

Up 15.4% 320 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 18?

Yes 60% 650.81 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 18?

Yes 60% 244 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 18?

Up 47% 510 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 18?

Up 46% 645 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 18?

Up 46% 644.91 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 18?

Up 42% 500 shares