No position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $28.45K
- Potential payout
- $153.8K
- Potential profit
- $125.35K
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$48.45K
Polymarket Trader
BuyNauCars
0xfcc5efa2cc012d3ca32fd6b21c97ae0850769df0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $153.79K
- Realized PnL
- $1.85K
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $125.33K
- Potential payout
- $153.8K
- Potential profit
- $28.47K
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $48.43K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $649.9
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $600.59
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $280.46
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $215.14
Yes position
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140
No position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.87
No position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.73
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23
Yes position
Will Benoît Payan win the Marseille mayor election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.62
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.4%
- Multiplier
- 4.90x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$90.88
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$141
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.9% 139 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 99.9% 49,096.72 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 99.9% 50,000 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 99.9% 50,000 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 99.9% 1,000 shares
- Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?Yes 99.8% 842.91 shares
- Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?Yes 99.8% 10,000 shares
- Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?Yes 99.8% 142,101.39 shares
- Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?Yes 99.9% 12,238.89 shares
- Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?Yes 99.9% 213.01 shares
- Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?Yes 99.9% 150 shares
- Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?Yes 99.9% 30,378.37 shares