Polymarket Trader

aths.2213

0xfcca373bf26723ecc3b51c02658f0611688ed40a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $58.03
Realized PnL: $87.73
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 12
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $6.25
Potential payout: $833.33
Potential profit: $827.08
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $1.25

Yes position

Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $8.85
Potential payout: $769.23
Potential profit: $760.38
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$1.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $555.54
Potential profit: $555.54
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $405.41
Potential profit: $405.41
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $385.71
Potential profit: $385.71
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $384.62
Potential profit: $384.62
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $319.15
Potential profit: $319.15
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $312.5
Potential profit: $312.5
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $294.12
Potential profit: $294.12
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $201.48
Potential profit: $201.48
User PnL: -$4.8

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $9.44
Potential payout: $161.29
Potential profit: $151.85
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: -$0.56

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $20.78
Potential payout: $152.22
Potential profit: $131.44
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: $5.78

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 24, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $145.1
Potential profit: $145.1
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $129.93
Potential profit: $129.93
User PnL: -$4.81

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 17, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $113.15
Potential profit: $113.15
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $107.07
Potential profit: $107.07
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 January 12-18?

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 18, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.79
Potential profit: $71.79
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Netanyahu out by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 25, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.07
Potential profit: $64.07
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Ends Oct 28, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $9.66
Potential payout: $62.35
Potential profit: $52.69
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$0.34

Yes position

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $3.06
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $52.5
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$1.94

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.54
Potential profit: $43.54
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.68

Yes position

Will Deere (DE) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.6

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.02

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.88

Yes position

Will Occidental Petroleum (OXY) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.41

No position

Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.69

No position

Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.14

Yes position

Will Costco (COST) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11

Yes position

Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$19.88

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$29.92

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Yes 16% 62.35 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 10?

Down 60% 16.67 shares
Will Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q2 revenue (USD) be above $40B?

Yes 67% 14.93 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.2% 161.29 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.2% 312.5 shares
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?

Yes 97.6% 76.51 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9.4% 319.15 shares
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $190 Week of May 4 2026?

No 34.6% 14.46 shares
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Yes 25.6% 39.06 shares
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?

Yes 9% 55.56 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

No 20% 25 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

No 11.5% 43.54 shares