Polymarket Trader

ruduamrk

0xfcd0eee2b056d707bf0281fd512949d906ed10df

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $77.45
Realized PnL: $384.1
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $3.41
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $87.5
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: -$6.59

Yes position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $9
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $51
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$6

No position

Blue wave in 2026?

Ends Nov 30, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $4.22
Potential payout: $17.24
Potential profit: $13.02
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$0.78

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $9.59
Potential payout: $16.39
Potential profit: $6.8
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$0.41

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $14.96
Potential payout: $15.16
Potential profit: $0.2
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $4.96

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $10.82
Potential payout: $14.93
Potential profit: $4.1
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $0.82

No position

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $13.13
Potential payout: $14.93
Potential profit: $1.79
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $3.13

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.3%
Current value: $11.66
Potential payout: $13.84
Potential profit: $2.18
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $5.35

Yes position

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 41%
Current value: $0.65
Potential payout: $1.59
Potential profit: $0.94
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.56
Potential profit: $1.56
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Paris Saint-Germain FC position

Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.62

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.7

No position

Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.57

Yes position

Exact Score: Arsenal FC 1 - 0 Club Atlético de Madrid?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.71

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.95

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.22

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.56

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.56

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.19

No position

Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.48

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.24

Yes position

Exact Score: Manchester United FC 1 - 2 Leeds United FC?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.54

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.28

Paris Saint-Germain FC position

Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.15

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10

Under position

Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.61

Spurs position

Spread: Knicks (-2.5)

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.23

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.87

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.74

No position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.72

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.52

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.15

Under position

England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.54

Under position

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.96

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Yes 13% 88.23 shares
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?

Yes 35% 7.57 shares
US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Yes 33% 16.3 shares
US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Yes 33% 16.3 shares
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Yes 17% 88.24 shares
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.3% 454.54 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 66% 15.15 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 36% 28.3 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

No 39.1% 9.07 shares
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)

Spurs 52% 19.23 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.8% 555.56 shares
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 3.5

Under 57% 17.54 shares