Polymarket Trader

Jems099

0xfcd84b43b7b8450890652d9c7994b4c6c68e3c50

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $43.9
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 12
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $5.55
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $24.45
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $5.63
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $19.38
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $2.9
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $17.1
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$1.3

Yes position

Will Ivory Coast win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$4.19

Yes position

Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $1.73
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $13.28
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$1.57

Yes position

Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $0.76
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $14.24
Multiplier: 19.65x
User PnL: -$2.34

Yes position

Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $8.15
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $1.85
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party win the NC-07 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $0.9
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.1
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 32%
Current value: $3.2
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $6.8
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: -$4.6

Yes position

Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $1.2
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.8
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$0.85

Yes position

Will the Republican Party win the IN-05 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $3.95
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $1.05
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.15

Yes position

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 44%
Current value: $2.2
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2.8
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: $1.15

Yes position

Will Mark Baisley win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.06

Yes position

Will Netherlands reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $1.17
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.83
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will Josh Tenorio win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $1.93
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.08
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $0.83

Yes position

Will Melisa Hortman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.99
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 60%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on June 17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.1

Yes position

Abstract FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $0.32
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.68
Multiplier: 15.50x
User PnL: -$0.78

Yes position

Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.2%
Current value: $0.86
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.14
Multiplier: 5.82x
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $0.31
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.69
Multiplier: 16.13x
User PnL: -$0.79

Yes position

Will the Republican Party win the MA-05 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.86
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$0.9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Over position

Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yakult Brothers position

Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $0

Over position

Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Over position

Fortaleza EC vs. América FC: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

University War position

Map Handicap: UW (-1.5) vs KRÜ Blaze (+1.5)

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Over position

Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Over position

France vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Over position

Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor Fritz

Zizou Bergs 22% 5 shares
Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30?

Yes 22% 5 shares
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?

Yes 22% 5 shares
Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 22% 5 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on June 17?

Yes 42% 5 shares
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 1.5

Over 78% 5 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?

Yes 22% 5 shares
France vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 2.5

Over 22% 2 shares
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 1.5

Over 78% 5 shares
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?

Yes 22% 5 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?

Yes 22% 5 shares
France vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 2.5

Over 22% 5 shares