Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $101.21
- Potential payout
- $105.98
- Potential profit
- $4.77
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $61.76
Polymarket Trader
cassianvale63-se
0xfcde2d01d694bffd6ff180749e7783f34c3a9bd9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $317.16
- Realized PnL
- $125.12
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Discord IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.9%
- Current value
- $13.37
- Potential payout
- $30.45
- Potential profit
- $17.08
- Multiplier
- 2.28x
- User PnL
- $0.74
No position
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $23.7
- Potential payout
- $30.38
- Potential profit
- $6.68
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $4.8
No position
Over $200M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $19.26
- Potential payout
- $30.33
- Potential profit
- $11.07
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $6.56
Yes position
Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.07
- Potential profit
- $30.07
- User PnL
- -$1.56
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 30%
- Current value
- $8.84
- Potential payout
- $29.48
- Potential profit
- $20.64
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.31
No position
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 53%
- Current value
- $15.39
- Potential payout
- $29.04
- Potential profit
- $13.65
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $21.2
- Potential payout
- $24.8
- Potential profit
- $3.6
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $7.64
No position
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 64%
- Current value
- $14.72
- Potential payout
- $23
- Potential profit
- $8.28
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $17.89
- Potential payout
- $22.22
- Potential profit
- $4.33
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $7.39
Los Angeles Angels position
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.1
- Potential profit
- $18.1
- User PnL
- -$6.12
No position
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $10.77
- Potential payout
- $18.1
- Potential profit
- $7.33
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
New York Yankees position
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 49%
- Current value
- $8.87
- Potential payout
- $18.1
- Potential profit
- $9.23
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
Fiona Crawley position
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Fiona Crawley vs Himeno Sakatsume
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $18.09
- Potential payout
- $18.09
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $14.29
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.23
- Potential profit
- $16.23
- User PnL
- -$5.74
Yes position
Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $11.11
- User PnL
- -$3.23
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $3.85
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $6.15
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Detroit Tigers position
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $4.7
Zverev position
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Cobolli (+1.5)
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Sho Shimabukuro position
Halle Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Sho Shimabukuro
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Chicago Cubs position
Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$4.6
Katie Volynets position
Libema Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Lin Zhu
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $5.9
Marcos Giron position
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Charles Broom
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $4.8
Nikola Bartunkova position
Birmingham: Nikola Bartunkova vs Mika Stojsavljevic
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $5.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.73
No position
Will Switzerland advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.97
Yes position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.9
Yes position
Will Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.17
No position
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.8
Yes position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.49
St. Louis Cardinals position
San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.4
No position
Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.97
No position
Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.8
No position
Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $3.7
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.63
Miami Marlins position
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.2
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $80 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.06
No position
Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- $1.84
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $1.7
Luisina Giovannini position
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Luisina Giovannini vs Lucrezia Stefanini
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.47
Tampa Bay Rays position
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Polymarket update