Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $11.07
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $48.93
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $1.21
Polymarket Trader
newcai
0xfce0db8a50a488262e6b29e55a32bcb181cdc846
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $45.93
- Realized PnL
- $190.34
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.9%
- Current value
- $7.71
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $52.29
- Multiplier
- 7.78x
- User PnL
- $1.06
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $7.05
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $52.95
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $1.76
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $3.99
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $56.01
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$1.11
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $8.19
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $51.81
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.97
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Current value
- $4.41
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $55.59
- Multiplier
- 13.61x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $3.51
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $56.49
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Will Enrique Valderrama finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.09
- Potential profit
- $24.09
- User PnL
- -$9.75
Yes position
Will José Williams finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.14
- Potential profit
- $15.14
- User PnL
- -$9.84
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on March 22?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 25?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C or higher on March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.99
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on March 19?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.8
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on March 20?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.59
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on March 26?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.96
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 84°F or higher on March 23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.8
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or higher on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.18
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 32°C on March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.14
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on March 26?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.99
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on March 25?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.31
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on March 27?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.92
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on March 26?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.87
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on March 27?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.7
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 10°C or below on March 21?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.67
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 19?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.64
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on March 25?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on March 23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.48
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C or higher on March 21?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.22
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on March 27?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 26?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on March 23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Doug Jones win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?Yes 85.5% 5.95 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes 98.9% 0.69 shares
- Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No 95.5% 3.63 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 79% 0.11 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?No 83% 3.55 shares
- US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No 86% 3.22 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Yes 3.2% 16.03 shares
- Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 2.6% 135.13 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No 98.3% 4.37 shares
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No 82% 5.31 shares
- Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No 95.6% 2.9 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes 99.5% 0.01 shares