Polymarket Trader

Soya-destroya

0xfce2586351cf3ace7add35d641ae5b9cf07baa18

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $1.18K
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $938.41
Potential payout: $6.47K
Potential profit: $5.53K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$2.6K

Yes position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $1.12K
User PnL: -$308.79

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $730.43
Potential profit: $730.43
User PnL: -$126

Yes position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $66.37
Potential payout: $428.17
Potential profit: $361.8
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$113.63

Yes position

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$116

Yes position

Kash Patel out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $1.62
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $118.38
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$38.98

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 89.8%
Current value: $102.22
Potential payout: $113.9
Potential profit: $11.67
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $2.22

Yes position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$53

Yes position

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $5.01
Potential payout: $91.14
Potential profit: $86.12
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$4.99

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $20.96
Potential payout: $54.45
Potential profit: $33.49
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$3.54

Yes position

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

Ends Jan 20, 2029

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $33.59
Potential payout: $52.08
Potential profit: $18.49
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$1.3

Yes position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$17.2

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.71
Potential profit: $29.71
User PnL: -$22.58

Yes position

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 71.3%
Current value: $14.26
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $5.74
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $4.46

Yes position

Will Powell say "Shut down" or "Shutdown" during April press conference?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.23
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Powell say "Successor" during April press conference?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.39
Potential profit: $16.39
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during April press conference?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.99
Potential profit: $12.99
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.79
Potential profit: $9.79
User PnL: -$4.7

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Yes 87.8% 113.9 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Yes 70% 142.86 shares
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?

Yes 0.1% 500 shares
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during April press conference?

Yes 0.1% 19.4 shares
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?

Yes 0.1% 5.66 shares
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?

Yes 80% 5.66 shares
Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?

Yes 98.2% 10.18 shares
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during April press conference?

Yes 77% 12.99 shares
Will Powell say "Shut down" or "Shutdown" during April press conference?

Yes 26% 19.23 shares
Will Powell say "Successor" during April press conference?

Yes 61% 16.39 shares
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during April press conference?

Yes 51.5% 19.41 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Yes 0.4% 40 shares