Polymarket Trader

coxdonald

0xfceb1f54815bdaa4de69ebf03b32133095d4b8ec

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.54
Realized PnL: $5.77
Win rate: 52.9%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 17
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.95
Potential payout: $2.95
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 62%
Current value: $1.59
Potential payout: $2.57
Potential profit: $0.98
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: $0.28

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.07

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.89

Yes position

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85

No position

Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.55

Raptors position

Hawks vs. Raptors

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.53

Chargers position

Steelers vs. Chargers

Ends Nov 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.66

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.63

No position

Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in January 2026?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.15

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.17

No position

Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.18

Bears position

Bears vs. Packers

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.34

No position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 23-29?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.56

Yes position

Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.66

Yes position

Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.08

Raiders position

Giants vs. Raiders

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.85

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

No 83% 2.95 shares
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?

Yes 51% 2.57 shares
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?

Yes 48% 4.33 shares
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?

Yes 32% 4.19 shares
Hawks vs. Raptors

Raptors 61% 3.92 shares
Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in January 2026?

No 30% 3.83 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Yes 36% 3.25 shares
Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?

Yes 75% 2.21 shares
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?

No 32% 3.75 shares
Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?

No 26% 6.85 shares
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 23-29?

No 39% 4 shares
Giants vs. Raiders

Raiders 50.1% 5.69 shares