Polymarket Trader

0xfcf2059C73fe5ebfe708591500eD3FC821497279-1768056005270

0xfcf2059c73fe5ebfe708591500ed3fc821497279

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $592.58
Realized PnL: $9.53K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.46K
Potential profit: $24.46K
User PnL: -$249.96

Yes position

Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 4.5m?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.82K
Potential profit: $5.82K
User PnL: -$17.45

Yes position

Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $111.76
Potential payout: $5.45K
Potential profit: $5.34K
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$1.74K

Yes position

Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 32m and 35m?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.9K
Potential profit: $4.9K
User PnL: -$86.44

Yes position

Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Emily Flippen win Survivor Season 50?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.97K
Potential profit: $3.97K
User PnL: -$14.59

Yes position

Will Bukayo Saka be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $5.25
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $3.49K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$17.25

Yes position

Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.37K
Potential profit: $3.37K
User PnL: -$6.75

Yes position

Will Tiffany Nicole Ervin win Survivor Season 50?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.16K
Potential profit: $3.16K
User PnL: -$17.75

Yes position

Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.84K
Potential profit: $2.84K
User PnL: -$450.38

Yes position

Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.9%
Current value: $475.57
Potential payout: $2.82K
Potential profit: $2.35K
Multiplier: 5.93x
User PnL: $380.06

Yes position

Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$7.5

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.44K
Potential profit: $2.44K
User PnL: -$31.67

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.42K
Potential profit: $2.42K
User PnL: -$495.46

Yes position

Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 5m?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.28K
Potential profit: $2.28K
User PnL: -$22.96

Yes position

Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.99K
Potential profit: $1.99K
User PnL: -$39.67

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.67K

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11K

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $770.87

Yes position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $506.81

Yes position

Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 81%
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $366.66

Yes position

Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $310.79

No position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $247.16

Yes position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $242.31

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: $213.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210.15

No position

Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $181.59

Yes position

Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $163.38

No position

Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153.22

Yes position

Will "Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $148.18

Yes position

Will "Left" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.18

Yes position

Will "Michael" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.65

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.26

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.76

Yes position

Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.09

Yes position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $101.2

Yes position

Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.22

Yes position

Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.95

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.55

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?

No 53% 100 shares
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?

Yes 31% 100 shares
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?

Yes 9% 55.51 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 0.6% 2,500 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?

Yes 10% 218.47 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 72.6% 427.09 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 77% 39.27 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 77.1% 38.95 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 76.7% 280.87 shares
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?

Yes 0.4% 57.96 shares
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 67% 110 shares
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

No 57% 248 shares