Polymarket Trader

0xFCF21904C247a53021BcEcC7eeC52F2C326B9D34-1770067836803

0xfcf21904c247a53021bcecc7eec52f2c326b9d34

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $19.55
Realized PnL: $661.74
Win rate: 20.8%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $5.96
Potential payout: $120.37
Potential profit: $114.41
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: -$0.54

Yes position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $13.52
Potential payout: $100.12
Potential profit: $86.6
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$11.07

Yes position

Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $82.92
Potential profit: $82.92
User PnL: -$1.99

No position

Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78.26
Potential profit: $78.26
User PnL: -$37.59

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $58.82
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.5
Potential profit: $37.5
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by March 15?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.08
Potential profit: $35.08
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.88
Potential profit: $21.88
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.76
Potential profit: $11.76
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $4.27
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$0.92

Yes position

Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.45
Potential profit: $3.45
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Claude 5 not be released by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $658.56

No position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.85

MOUZ position

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.14

Yes position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released on February 12, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released on February 11, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released on February 16, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Multiplier: 15.50x
User PnL: -$0.37

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released on February 19, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.41

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released on February 15, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released on February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.53

Yes position

Will Trump sue Trevor Noah by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.56

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released on February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released on February 7, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.63

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released on February 9, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.67

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released on February 18, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.68

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released on February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released on February 14, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.89

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released on February 8, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released on February 5, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.91

No position

Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?

Yes 3% 216.66 shares
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?

Yes 6% 216.67 shares
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?

Yes 17% 11.76 shares
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 8% 37.5 shares
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Yes 30% 6.67 shares
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?

Yes 87% 1.15 shares
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 2.4% 82.92 shares
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 3.4% 58.82 shares
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 16% 21.88 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 17% 29.41 shares
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 5.4% 120.37 shares
GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Yes 24.6% 100.12 shares