Polymarket Trader

Lalipop

@RCarroll56010

0xfcfd7215f66dc6ccbc33ee6e986235461bdf16ec

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $14.76
Realized PnL: $90.85
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $3.5
Potential payout: $3.84
Potential profit: $0.35
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.15

No position

French election called by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $3.72
Potential payout: $3.74
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.56

No position

Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $2.15
Potential payout: $2.2
Potential profit: $0.05
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $1.78
Potential payout: $1.96
Potential profit: $0.18
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $1.73
Potential payout: $1.95
Potential profit: $0.22
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $1.89
Potential payout: $1.94
Potential profit: $0.04
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.3

No position

Will Elon tweet 225–249 times May 9–16?

Ends May 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.41

Yes position

Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-05-31?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.66

Down position

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Ends May 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56

Yes position

Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-03-11?

Ends Mar 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.43

Panthers position

Oilers vs. Panthers

Ends Jun 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2

Magic position

Magic vs. Raptors

Ends Jan 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02

Avalanche position

Avalanche vs. Blue Jackets

Ends Apr 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01

Down position

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.98

Blues position

Canucks vs. Blues

Ends Mar 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.91

Stars position

Kings vs. Stars

Ends Mar 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Will Donald Trump say "nuclear" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.89

Mumbai Indians position

Mumbai Indians vs. Delhi Capitals

Ends May 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.84

Capitals position

Canadiens vs. Capitals

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.83

No position

Will Israel raid Gaza aid ship Handala by Friday?

Ends Jul 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.83

No position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

No position

Will Trump release a new Russia x Ukraine peace plan by December 31?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

Oilers position

Kings vs. Oilers

Ends May 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.71

Penguins position

Blackhawks vs. Penguins

Ends Apr 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.66

Stars position

Stars vs. Flyers

Ends Jan 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

Lightning position

Bruins vs. Lightning

Ends Jan 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

Yes position

Will the Black Woman statue be removed from Times Square early?

Ends Jun 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Yes position

Will Inter win on 2025-03-05?

Ends Mar 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

No position

Will Brighton win on 2024-12-27?

Ends Dec 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?

No 79% 2.2 shares
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?

No 40.6% 1.74 shares
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?

No 79.8% 1.74 shares
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?

Yes 97% 1.78 shares
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?

No 89% 1.96 shares
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?

Yes 76% 2.13 shares
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?

No 55.3% 1.5 shares
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?

No 88% 2 shares
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?

Yes 63% 2.05 shares
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?

Yes 87% 2.05 shares
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?

No 82% 1.94 shares
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?

No 86% 1.84 shares