Y
Yes position
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?
Ends Jul 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $137
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $63
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $13
Polymarket Trader
chartreuseverte
0xfd076a684f0a2de61598b1de9a8ee2fe520cce86
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $724.81
- Realized PnL
- $10.52K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 achieve a successful splashdown?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $135.23
- Potential payout
- $170.1
- Potential profit
- $34.87
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $2.45
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $112.5
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $37.5
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $121.05
- Potential payout
- $144.11
- Potential profit
- $23.06
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $6.82
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $119.38
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $5.63
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $2.58
No position
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $63.35
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $6.65
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Y
Yes position
Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $36.3
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $23.7
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $1.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.53K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $732.79
No position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $332.23
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $242.4
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $226.44
No position
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.58
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.12
No position
US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72
No position
US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.15
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.77
No position
Ilhan Omar federally charged by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.6
Yes position
Will Avi Lewis win the Canadian NDP Leadership election?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.2
No position
Will Artemis II launch by February 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.11
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.7
No position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.81
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by February 28?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.6
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.2
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by February 28?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.17
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
US strikes Iran by January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
US strike on Colombia by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.8
No position
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31?No 90.9% 70 shares
- Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?Yes 64% 20 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?Yes 86% 50 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31?Yes 94% 55 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31?Yes 93% 70 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?Yes 82.8% 44.11 shares
- Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 achieve a successful splashdown?Yes 81% 20 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?Yes 76% 20 shares
- Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?Yes 54% 40 shares
- Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 achieve a successful splashdown?Yes 81% 50.1 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?Yes 65% 30 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?No 75% 134.46 shares