Yes position
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $604
- Potential profit
- $604
- User PnL
- -$6.04
Polymarket Trader
13thDukeofWybourne
0xfd0c402369b6b1fc251a98612f2dd36da752f306
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $62.22
- Realized PnL
- $107.68
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will PPI YoY be at least 8.0% in May?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $505.05
- Potential profit
- $505.05
- User PnL
- -$5.11
Yes position
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.22
- Potential payout
- $488.99
- Potential profit
- $487.77
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.79
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $3.9
- Potential payout
- $312
- Potential profit
- $308.1
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.12
Yes position
Will Rachel Reeves be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.13
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $249.88
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.88
Yes position
Will Reform UK win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.29
- Potential payout
- $195.99
- Potential profit
- $195.7
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$9.02
Yes position
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $1.85
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $98.15
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $7
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $93
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$4.3
Yes position
Will Core CPI YoY be 3.0% in May?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $94.87
- Potential profit
- $94.87
- User PnL
- -$1.85
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.4%
- Current value
- $9.42
- Potential payout
- $83
- Potential profit
- $73.58
- Multiplier
- 8.81x
- User PnL
- -$3.86
Yes position
Will the Conservative Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $80
- User PnL
- -$1.52
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.1%
- Current value
- $3.93
- Potential payout
- $55
- Potential profit
- $51.07
- Multiplier
- 14.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.59
Yes position
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $1.28
- Potential payout
- $53.32
- Potential profit
- $52.04
- Multiplier
- 41.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.72
Yes position
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.6%
- Current value
- $4.3
- Potential payout
- $50.01
- Potential profit
- $45.71
- Multiplier
- 11.64x
- User PnL
- $3.85
Yes position
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $1.86
- Potential payout
- $49.62
- Potential profit
- $47.76
- Multiplier
- 26.67x
- User PnL
- $0.86
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$1.32
Yes position
Will England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $2.2
- Potential payout
- $39.99
- Potential profit
- $37.79
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$2.8
Yes position
Will Portugal score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $0.95
- Potential payout
- $37.51
- Potential profit
- $36.56
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$1.06
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.2%
- Current value
- $6.43
- Potential payout
- $37.32
- Potential profit
- $30.89
- Multiplier
- 5.80x
- User PnL
- -$20.57
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.1%
- Current value
- $10.1
- Potential payout
- $36
- Potential profit
- $25.9
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- $4.13
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.4%
- Current value
- $6.39
- Potential payout
- $33
- Potential profit
- $26.61
- Multiplier
- 5.17x
- User PnL
- $3.45
Yes position
Will Spain score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $0.97
- Potential payout
- $31.37
- Potential profit
- $30.4
- Multiplier
- 32.26x
- User PnL
- -$3.84
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Ant Middleton summit Everest in more than 6 days?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.76
Yes position
Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $9.75
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.8
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.44
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.25
No position
Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.22
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.1
Yes position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33
Yes position
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.9% in May?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2
No position
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.03
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99
Yes position
Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.91
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75
Yes position
Will Italy win?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.68
Yes position
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- $2.63
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.51
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.42
Yes position
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.39
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
Yes position
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- $2.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Germany score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.1% 10 shares
- Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?Yes 3.8% 26.32 shares
- Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?Yes 5% 20 shares
- Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?Yes 50.2% 25.3 shares
- Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?Yes 31.2% 10 shares
- Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?Yes 31.5% 11 shares
- Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?Yes 50.3% 10.72 shares
- Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?No 99.8% 5 shares
- Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?Yes 3.7% 125.16 shares
- Will Netherlands score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 17% 5.88 shares
- Will annual inflation be 4.1% in June?Yes 1.8% 20 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 91% 10 shares