No position
NATO article 5 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $2.79K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $210
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $220
Polymarket Trader
Utoya
0xfd0e12e8e6f33859a247c4f764250ada6f5fd918
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.46K
- Realized PnL
- $4.71K
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $2.5K
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $3.75
- User PnL
- $376.25
No position
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $1.36K
- Potential payout
- $1.52K
- Potential profit
- $151.5
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $12.8
No position
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $1.1K
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $102
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $56
No position
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 70%
- Current value
- $300.72
- Potential payout
- $429.59
- Potential profit
- $128.88
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- $19.55
Over position
World Cup: Total Tournament Goals O/U 264.5
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $235.34
- Potential payout
- $242.75
- Potential profit
- $7.4
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $16.29
No position
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.8%
- Current value
- $171.47
- Potential payout
- $199.97
- Potential profit
- $28.5
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 89.6%
- Current value
- $8.96
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $1.05
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.96
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.02K
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $470
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300
Yes position
Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.14
No position
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.7
No position
Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.76
Yes position
Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.35
Yes position
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.38
Yes position
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.94
Yes position
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Left-Wing Wave in French Mayoral Elections?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$31.5
Yes position
Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$137.49
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No 86.3% 103.93 shares
- US takes Panama Canal before 2027?No 88.5% 10 shares
- World Cup: Total Tournament Goals O/U 264.5Over 91% 100.99 shares
- World Cup: Total Tournament Goals O/U 264.5Over 89.9% 110.09 shares
- Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No 65% 20 shares
- Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No 64.5% 40 shares
- Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No 65% 100 shares
- Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No 66% 20 shares
- Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No 66% 20 shares
- Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No 66% 20 shares
- Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No 66% 40 shares
- Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No 64.7% 60 shares