Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$20
Polymarket Trader
BelieveInSomething
0xfd0ee585bf699259f6a1671b4b1675d07f07a9c8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.56K
- Realized PnL
- $13.12K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $951.5
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $148.5
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $27.5
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $205
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $795
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $196.35
- Potential payout
- $957.81
- Potential profit
- $761.46
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$184.55
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.9%
- Current value
- $83.4
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $316.6
- Multiplier
- 4.80x
- User PnL
- -$7.8
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $127.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $172.5
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$10.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Over $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.01K
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41K
Yes position
Will the HBO documentary identify Adam Back as Satoshi?
Ends Oct 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
Yes position
Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $849.71
Yes position
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $846.81
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $794.48
Yes position
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $730
No position
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $632.5
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $605.1
Yes position
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2024?
Ends Nov 2, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $582
Yes position
Liverpool wins the Premier League?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $552
Yes position
Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $494.18
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $334.21
Yes position
Will Austria finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $308.63
Yes position
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $291.18
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80k in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $244.4
Yes position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $214.11
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $196.15
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $176.56
T1 position
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168.17
No position
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $167.72
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.79
Yes position
Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.01
No position
Will Oscar Piastri finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Yes 42.6% 639.63 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 16.8% 595.2 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 87% 200 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026?No 3.3% 63.69 shares
- Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes 82.4% 954.89 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 66% 606.16 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 50% 1,000.11 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 81.6% 4,347.2 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 81.1% 4,347.2 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 39.1% 820.92 shares
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?Yes 97.8% 412.77 shares
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?Yes 97.7% 1,359.44 shares