Argentina position
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $878.9
- Potential payout
- $940
- Potential profit
- $61.1
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $2.3
Polymarket Trader
0xfD1b2AB74a9f0706d10F4f8a81276272a6fF650B-1767256958578
0xfd1b2ab74a9f0706d10f4f8a81276272a6ff650b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.76K
- Realized PnL
- $229.52
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.2%
- Current value
- $170.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $329.25
- Multiplier
- 2.93x
- User PnL
- $22.15
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.3%
- Current value
- $38.5
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $161.5
- Multiplier
- 5.19x
- User PnL
- -$3.3
Yes position
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$39
No position
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $89.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $10.5
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
No position
Stripe IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $93.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $6.5
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $4.5
No position
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $63.45
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $26.55
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $4.25
Yes position
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $56.89
- Potential profit
- $56.89
- User PnL
- -$54.04
Yes position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $13.49
- Potential payout
- $55.07
- Potential profit
- $41.58
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$36.25
No position
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $43.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $6.25
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$1.75
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $13.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $36.75
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$2.85
No position
Mistral AI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $45.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $4.75
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.25
No position
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $37.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $12.25
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Discord IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.9%
- Current value
- $23.33
- Potential payout
- $44.94
- Potential profit
- $21.62
- Multiplier
- 1.93x
- User PnL
- -$16.67
No position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $40.72
- Potential payout
- $42.98
- Potential profit
- $2.26
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.39
No position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.8%
- Current value
- $37.1
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $2.9
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $31.05
- Potential payout
- $32.84
- Potential profit
- $1.79
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.95
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $27.16
- Potential payout
- $31.76
- Potential profit
- $4.61
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 93.3%
- Current value
- $27.98
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $2.02
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.88
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $25.95
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $4.05
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $15.5
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $4.5
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.8%
- Current value
- $17.55
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $2.45
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $19.7
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 38.4%
- Current value
- $7.67
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $12.33
- Multiplier
- 2.61x
- User PnL
- -$3.13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.5
No position
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.89
United States position
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $16.52
France position
France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.7
No position
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $13.45
No position
Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.19
Mexico position
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.55
No position
Waymo IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $10.16
No position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.95
Yes position
Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.92
No position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.5
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.14
No position
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $4.84
No position
Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.59
Yes position
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.58
No position
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $4.2
Yes position
Will Robinhood Markets (HOOD) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.8
No position
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.6
No position
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $3.48
Yes position
Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.96
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?Yes 98% 10 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Yes 86% 10 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Yes 86% 10 shares
- Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?Yes 97.5% 10 shares
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to AdvanceArgentina 91% 50 shares
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance AND Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance86.4% 9.21 shares
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to AdvanceUnited States 84% 60 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-07-01?Yes 71% 70 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-07-01?Yes 72% 70 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 32.8% 200 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 32.8% 200 shares
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to AdvanceArgentina 91% 330 shares