Polymarket Trader

bustnow

0xfd4263b3ad08226034fe1b1ea678a46d80b58895

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $685.14
Realized PnL: $41.58K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.73K
Potential profit: $1.73K
User PnL: -$43.26

Yes position

Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $7.84
Potential payout: $1.21K
Potential profit: $1.2K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $25.27
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $1.1K
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $7.3

Yes position

Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $6.64
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$1.53

No position

Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $7
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $993
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$153

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 59%
Current value: $579.11
Potential payout: $981.55
Potential profit: $402.44
Multiplier: 1.69x
User PnL: $441.7

Yes position

Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $6.08
Potential payout: $936
Potential profit: $929.92
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $0.47

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $935
Potential profit: $935
User PnL: -$14.03

Yes position

Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $3.07
Potential payout: $473
Potential profit: $469.93
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.71

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $15.29
Potential payout: $387
Potential profit: $371.71
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: $2.52

Yes position

Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $383
Potential profit: $382.04
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.96

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $376
Potential profit: $376
User PnL: -$101.52

No position

Cerebras IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $115.51
Potential profit: $115.51
User PnL: -$12.71

Yes position

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77.5
Potential profit: $77.5
User PnL: -$16.28

Yes position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 6.6%
Current value: $3.01
Potential payout: $46
Potential profit: $42.99
Multiplier: 15.27x
User PnL: $1.31

No position

Ramp IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $30.86
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $3.62
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $12.24

Yes position

Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.08K

Yes position

Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.8K

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) settle over $70 on the final trading day of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.43K

Yes position

Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.43K

Yes position

Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1K

Yes position

Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.01K

No position

Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be 4.5%?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.01K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.96K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump say "dictator" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6K

Yes position

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in November?

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.57K

Yes position

Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.57K

No position

Will "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 14m?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49K

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 2?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45K

No position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44K

No position

Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39K

No position

Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.37K

No position

US strike on Colombia by March 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.37K

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28K

No position

GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28K

No position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27K

No position

Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23K

Crawford position

New Delhi: Oliver Crawford vs Ilya Ivashka

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Yes 6.6% 451.17 shares
Ethereum flipped in 2026?

No 56% 453.04 shares
Will FaZe qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026?

No 99.9% 115.46 shares
Iran leadership change by April 30?

No 99.2% 666 shares
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

Yes 94% 740 shares
Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?

No 11.2% 714 shares
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?

No 1.4% 5,882 shares
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?

No 99.7% 229.28 shares
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?

No 99.7% 625 shares
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?

No 99.7% 531 shares
Will Kanye tweet again by March 31?

No 18.9% 563.29 shares
Will "Hoppers" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 16.5m and 18m?

No 48% 89.76 shares