Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $21.67
- Potential payout
- $1.97K
- Potential profit
- $1.95K
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- -$28.33
Polymarket Trader
Mingyoto
0xfd4d2ad245de7b2b0f03888fe7aeacbb8382cd61
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $21.67
- Realized PnL
- $1.25K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2025?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $526.32
- Potential profit
- $526.32
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$22
Yes position
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $412.93
- Potential profit
- $412.93
- User PnL
- -$36.26
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $335.57
- Potential profit
- $335.57
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 12?
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$25.5
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$90
Heat position
Heat vs. Nuggets
Ends Nov 9, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $285.71
- Potential profit
- $285.71
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during December press conference?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $209.12
- Potential profit
- $209.12
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Trump tweet 110-119 times Nov 1-8?
Ends Nov 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $174.47
- Potential profit
- $174.47
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $151.52
- Potential profit
- $151.52
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
Ends Jul 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $147.06
- Potential profit
- $147.06
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $143.88
- Potential profit
- $143.88
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" in his speech after the election is called?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$9.8
No position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.33
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
GOP wins popular vote by 3-4%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.33
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Powell say "Sorry" during December press conference?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.07
- Potential profit
- $83.07
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Arizona be the closest state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $67.8
- Potential profit
- $67.8
- User PnL
- -$20
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Yes position
Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $29.41
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.3
- Potential profit
- $19.3
- User PnL
- -$9.84
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 9?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $226.04
No position
Eigenlayer airdrop by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $135.38
No position
Will Trump say "missile defense shield" during New York rally on October 27?
Ends Oct 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.59
Yes position
Will Trump say "Hitler" during Georgia rally on October 28?
Ends Oct 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.11
No position
Will Trump say "China" 6 or more during Greensboro, NC rally?
Ends Nov 2, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75
No position
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.08
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $63.02
Yes position
Will Trump say "vote" 30 or more times during Virginia rally on Nov 2?
Ends Nov 2, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54
Yes position
Ethereum above $2,400 on September 13?
Ends Sep 13, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.45
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 400 or more times Oct 25 - Nov 1?
Ends Nov 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.29
Yes position
Will Trump say "MAGA" 4 or more times during Nevada rally on Oct 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.5
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 180 or more times?
Ends Aug 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.44
Yes position
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32
Yes position
Will Donald Trump say "MAGA" 4 or more times during his North Carolina rally?
Ends Sep 21, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.07
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.71
Yes position
Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.41
Yes position
Will Trump say "Crypto" 5+ times during the X space?
Ends Sep 16, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.58
Yes position
Will JD Vance say "Kamala" 30 or more times during the Joe Rogan podcast?
Ends Oct 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.53
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in October?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.08
Yes position
Trump posts 35-39 or more times on X?
Ends Aug 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.17
Yes position
Will Trump tweet 20-24 times this week?
Ends Sep 13, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.7
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 300 or more times?
Ends Sep 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.22
Yes position
$BTC dips below $50k before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.22
No position
Will Trump say "Women's sports" during New York rally on October 27?
Ends Oct 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 29.8% 335.57 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 2.5% 1,970.36 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETUp 51% 19.3 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?Yes 30% 300 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes 4.4% 500 shares
- Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during December press conference?No 47.8% 209.12 shares
- Will Powell say "Sorry" during December press conference?No 24.1% 83.07 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?No 3.3% 151.52 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 9?Yes 20.5% 486.63 shares
- Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?Yes 8.8% 1,468.15 shares
- Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?Yes 82% 137.83 shares
- Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Yes 34% 147.06 shares