Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $275.5
- Potential payout
- $1.9K
- Potential profit
- $1.62K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$750.5
Polymarket Trader
MARF.1
0xfd510700f4954c39ff68424188454b5c3de9ea5e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.29K
- Realized PnL
- -$1.31K
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $1.02K
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $59.18
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $16.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.84
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.28K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 54% 79.6 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 7% 714.29 shares