Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.89
- Potential profit
- $26.89
- User PnL
- -$9.68
Polymarket Trader
baker-Man
0xfd566292ef268eec41e554f5026f093e67c745c3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $21.45
- Realized PnL
- -$17.63
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $10.7
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $9.3
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$2.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $9.44
- Potential payout
- $16.57
- Potential profit
- $7.13
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $1.3
- Potential payout
- $4.2
- Potential profit
- $2.9
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.84
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.84
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.64
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.26
No position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.37
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.02
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.26
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.51
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.38
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$4.95
Y
Yes position
Will the median home value in the US be between $433,000 and $440,000 on September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will The Tonys win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)?Yes 2% 30 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on July 12?No 58% 20 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 11?Yes 21.1% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 12?No 61% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on July 10?No 64% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 10?Yes 36% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 10?Yes 23% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 10?Yes 35% 4.76 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 7?Yes 46% 4.94 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 6?No 49.6% 40 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 6?No 55% 5.11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 5?No 61% 1 shares