Polymarket Trader

KING-VIP23

0xfd66d7ed45d7962ad009e669cdaec9319e38fb6d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $13.17K
Realized PnL: $569.46K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Epstein suicide note released by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $219K
Potential profit: $219K
User PnL: -$830.67

No position

Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200K
Potential profit: $200K
User PnL: -$200

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150K
Potential profit: $150K
User PnL: -$2.2K

Under position

Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.95K
Potential profit: $61.95K
User PnL: -$77.19

Yes position

Starmer out by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60K
Potential profit: $60K
User PnL: -$8.4K

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $1.58K
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $48.43K
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: -$5.22K

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $50K
User PnL: -$400

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $3.33K
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $46.68K
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$925

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $125
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $49.88K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$125

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.04K
Potential profit: $46.04K
User PnL: -$46.04

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $1.3K
Potential payout: $35K
Potential profit: $33.71K
Multiplier: 27.03x
User PnL: -$1.71K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.81K
Potential profit: $34.81K
User PnL: -$34.81

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.17K
Potential profit: $32.17K
User PnL: -$32.17

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $1.62K
Potential payout: $32K
Potential profit: $30.38K
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: $184.13

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $45
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $29.95K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$2.38K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $30K
User PnL: -$40.53

Yes position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $1.61K
Potential payout: $29.09K
Potential profit: $27.48K
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: -$1.56K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.36K
Potential profit: $25.36K
User PnL: -$25.36

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $1.64K
Potential payout: $21.86K
Potential profit: $20.22K
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$220.88

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.7K
Potential profit: $18.7K
User PnL: -$1.75K

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $1.73K
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $13.28K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$185.18

No position

Iran closes its airspace by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.41K
Potential profit: $14.41K
User PnL: -$441.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $48.44
Potential payout: $13.84K
Potential profit: $13.79K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$155.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $160.15
Potential payout: $12.32K
Potential profit: $12.16K
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: -$131.46

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $195.18K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.55K

Yes position

US military action against Iran by Saturday?

Ends Jun 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.81K

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.51K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.12K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.76K

Yes position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $9.92K

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.77K

Yes position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.99K

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Multiplier: 17.54x
User PnL: $7.05K

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.46K

Yes position

US military action against Iran by Sunday?

Ends Jun 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.32K

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.24K

Over position

West Ham United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.82K

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $5.25K

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.19K

Over position

AA Ponte Preta vs. Londrina EC: O/U 3.5

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.92K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.73K

Over position

Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 5.5

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.61K

Clutchain position

Counter-Strike: TNC vs Clutchain (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stage

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.59K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.42K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.41K

No position

Will Elon tweet 150–164 times June 27–July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.41K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.4K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Yes 7% 3,570.14 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Yes 6.9% 6,366.8 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Yes 6.7% 2,283 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Yes 6% 1,872.04 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Yes 64.7% 1,011.5 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Yes 61.4% 947.5 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Yes 5.1% 26.32 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?

Yes 7% 848.35 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Yes 4.8% 11,339.48 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Yes 4.4% 8,423.37 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Yes 4.2% 10,306.18 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Yes 4% 970.53 shares