Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $67.72
- Potential payout
- $19.35K
- Potential profit
- $19.28K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.24K
Polymarket Trader
Redacted86
0xfd72260c93fe9ec7ade50bfc2bb4ea76b830f902
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $127.95
- Realized PnL
- $753.3
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $60.23
- Potential payout
- $1.18K
- Potential profit
- $1.12K
- Multiplier
- 19.65x
- User PnL
- -$101.47
Yes position
Will Emily Flippen win Survivor Season 50?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.09K
- Potential profit
- $1.09K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Rizo Velovic win Survivor Season 50?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $461.7
- Potential profit
- $461.7
- User PnL
- -$22
Yes position
Will Cirie Fields win Survivor Season 50?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.82
- Potential profit
- $12.82
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.25
- Potential profit
- $2.25
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $511.64
Seahawks position
Seahawks vs. Patriots
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.96
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Dec 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.71
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Dec 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.47
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
Ends Dec 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.54
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Dec 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.73
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.26
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.43
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.07
No position
Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.82
Yes position
Will Trump say "Scam" or "Hoax" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.29
Yes position
Will Ozzy Lusth win Survivor Season 50?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.26
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.82
Yes position
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.64
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.81
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 21?
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.6
No position
Will Trump say "Epstein" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.48
Yes position
Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.95
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.66
Yes position
Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
Yes position
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
No change position
'No change' or '25 bps cut' favored for Fed decision in January on December 10?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
No position
Will Kraken run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34
Yes position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 9% 16,559.56 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 9% 16,559.56 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 6% 16.67 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 6% 666.67 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 6% 500 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 6% 500 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 6% 666.67 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 6% 333.33 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 6% 333.33 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 6% 166.67 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 6% 16.67 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 6% 16.67 shares