Polymarket Trader

0xFD73588d087E9e37EC71CdDF068FB52EC30012e2-1769561411501

0xfd73588d087e9e37ec71cddf068fb52ec30012e2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $32.05
Realized PnL: $12.11
Win rate: 95.7%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 23
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.96

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32
Potential profit: $32
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15.1%
Current value: $2.92
Potential payout: $19.37
Potential profit: $16.46
Multiplier: 6.64x
User PnL: $0.92

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.6%
Current value: $3.24
Potential payout: $15.02
Potential profit: $11.79
Multiplier: 4.64x
User PnL: $1.24

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $1.64
Potential payout: $12.2
Potential profit: $10.55
Multiplier: 7.43x
User PnL: -$0.36

No position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $7.97
Potential payout: $8.61
Potential profit: $0.65
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.97

Yes position

Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $6.4
Potential payout: $6.4
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.4

Yes position

Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.6
Potential payout: $2.6
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.04
Potential payout: $2.04
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.04

No position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.82
Potential profit: $1.82
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Palmeiras win Brazil Série A?

Ends Dec 16, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $0.84
Potential payout: $1.55
Potential profit: $0.7
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.33
Potential payout: $1.33
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.33

No position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.3
Potential profit: $1.3
User PnL: -$1

No position

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.3
Potential profit: $1.3
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $1.15
Potential profit: $1.09
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$0.94

No position

Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.08
Potential profit: $1.08
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $0.93
Potential payout: $1.06
Potential profit: $0.13
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $1.03
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will England advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $1.02
Potential payout: $1.02
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.29

No position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.86

No position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.85

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.77

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

No position

US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

No position

US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 30-April 5?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.39

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Will Argentina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 6?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

No position

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.98

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 80% 1.25 shares
GTA 6 launch postponed again?

No 90% 1.11 shares
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 94% 1.06 shares
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 77% 2.6 shares
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 82% 3.66 shares
Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 87% 1.15 shares
Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 98.2% 1.02 shares
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 72% 1.39 shares
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 75% 1.33 shares
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 67% 1.49 shares
Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 97.4% 1.03 shares
Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 97.5% 1.03 shares