Yes position
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $1.19
- Potential payout
- $264.07
- Potential profit
- $262.88
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$87.65
Polymarket Trader
0xfd741A1c8fF817f65Ad7F0117744875Aabf21919-1757282993768
0xfd741a1c8ff817f65ad7f0117744875aabf21919
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $140.86
- Realized PnL
- $1.12K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $100.24
- Potential payout
- $225.25
- Potential profit
- $125.01
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$21.4
Yes position
Will MrBeast say "Feastable" or "Feastables" during his next video?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $110
- User PnL
- -$51.3
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $107.92
- Potential profit
- $107.92
- User PnL
- -$30
Spirit position
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $87.34
- Potential profit
- $87.34
- User PnL
- -$47
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.34
- Potential payout
- $84.99
- Potential profit
- $84.65
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$55.75
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 74%
- Current value
- $37
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $13
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $10.5
Team Falcons position
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.4
- Potential profit
- $40.4
- User PnL
- -$19
Natus Vincere position
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.19
- Potential profit
- $40.19
- User PnL
- -$25
9z position
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$10.8
Over position
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.99
- Potential profit
- $39.99
- User PnL
- -$10.9
Vitality position
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.16
- Potential profit
- $37.16
- User PnL
- -$16.19
FURIA position
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.7
- Potential profit
- $35.7
- User PnL
- -$0.82
MOUZ position
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.87
- Potential profit
- $33.87
- User PnL
- -$2.37
Team Falcons position
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.82
- Potential profit
- $30.82
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.36
- Potential profit
- $26.36
- User PnL
- -$18.47
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26
- Potential profit
- $26
- User PnL
- -$14.58
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.6
- Potential profit
- $25.6
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$9.4
Y
Yes position
Will MrBeast say "Sponsor" or "Sponsored" or "Sponsoring" during his next YouTube video?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$7.4
Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $2.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $17.9
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Over position
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $11
- User PnL
- -$5.94
Yes position
Will MrBeast say "Africa" during his next video?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will MrBeast say "Donate" or "Donated" during his next video?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $415.79
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $280.13
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.7
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.5
Yes position
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $48.13
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.6
Over position
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.82
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.36
Spirit position
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.58
Yes position
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.4
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- $16.7
Over position
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.87
Yes position
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.46
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.86
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.44
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.02
Yes position
Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.51
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.07
No position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $6.9
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.82
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.69
Vitality position
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffs
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 59.9% 71.3 shares
- Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 63% 71.3 shares
- Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes 54% 225.25 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETUp 28% 17.86 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ETUp 84% 5.95 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ETUp 66% 20.41 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:20PM-5:25PM ETUp 94% 5.32 shares
- Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?Yes 26% 300 shares
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over 54% 11 shares
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over 53% 18.1 shares
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsFURIA 17% 35.29 shares
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over 54% 9.26 shares