Polymarket Trader

icemark

0xfd77352f47f6fa64d4533f5aa9ee84348224bc1e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $37.63
Realized PnL: $248.91
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $4.75
Potential payout: $123.41
Potential profit: $118.66
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: -$7.25

Yes position

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Spain?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

AI bubble burst in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.1%
Current value: $9.79
Potential payout: $57.27
Potential profit: $47.48
Multiplier: 5.85x
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.05
Potential profit: $54.05
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $5.48
Potential payout: $47.62
Potential profit: $42.14
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$4.52

No position

Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.09
Potential profit: $35.09
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.9%
Current value: $3.28
Potential payout: $30.24
Potential profit: $26.95
Multiplier: 9.22x
User PnL: -$1.72

Yes position

Nicolás González: 1+ goals

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.39
Potential profit: $24.39
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.26
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $21.97
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$1.74

Yes position

Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $22.22
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Lionel Messi: 5+ shots

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.45
Potential profit: $20.45
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Exact Score: England 0 - 1 Argentina?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.18
Potential profit: $18.18
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $15.67
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Argentina?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$2

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $10.69
Potential payout: $15.38
Potential profit: $4.69
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $0.69

Yes position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $1.32
Potential payout: $14.71
Potential profit: $13.38
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$3.68

Yes position

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $1.07
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $13.21
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$0.93

Yes position

Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $12
User PnL: -$3

No position

Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.9
Potential profit: $11.9
User PnL: -$5

Over position

England vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total Corners

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.63
Potential profit: $11.63
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37.46

No position

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.4

Bulls position

Bucks vs. Bulls

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.98

Zverev position

Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-2.5) vs Zverev (+2.5)

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.22

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.67

Yes position

Argentina to win the second half?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.13

Lakers position

76ers vs. Lakers

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.11

Chelsea FC position

Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.71

JD Gaming position

Honor of Kings: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - King Pro League Stage 3 Group S

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.71

Grizzlies position

Grizzlies vs. Mavericks

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.71

Passion UA position

Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Passion UA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.65

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.29

Weibo Gaming position

Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.87

Top Esports position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.54

AG Super Play position

Honor of Kings: Talent Gaming vs AG Super Play (BO7) - King Pro League Seat Decider S vs A

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.2

Weibo Gaming position

Game Handicap: WB (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.2

Pistons position

Spread: Pistons (-2.5)

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.9

Yes position

Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.9

Over position

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.63

Clippers position

Spread: Spurs (-8.5)

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.53

JD Gaming position

Honor of Kings: AG Super Play vs JD Gaming (BO5) - King Pro League Stage 2 Group A

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.39

Yes position

RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.36

Weibo Gaming position

LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.26

Nets position

Nets vs. Jazz

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.11

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group C

Bilibili Gaming 60% 3.33 shares
Honor of Kings: AG Super Play vs Kuaishou Gaming (BO5) - King Pro League Stage 2 Group S

Kuaishou Gaming 42% 7.14 shares
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 65.5% 8.84 shares
England vs. Argentina: England O/U 4.5 Corners

Under 53% 7.55 shares
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5

Over 39.5% 7.59 shares
Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Argentina?

Yes 12% 16.67 shares
Nicolás González: 1+ goals

Yes 4.1% 24.39 shares
Lionel Messi: 5+ shots

Yes 24.5% 20.45 shares
England vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total Corners

Over 43% 11.63 shares
Argentina to win the second half?

Yes 31% 16.13 shares
England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

Yes 21% 9.52 shares
Exact Score: England 0 - 1 Argentina?

Yes 11% 18.18 shares