Polymarket Trader

Espagan

0xfd7fd789729f1796d90f0341f6b86f53601dc0ce

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $164.71
Realized PnL: -$248.37
Win rate: 25%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $401.77
Potential profit: $401.77
User PnL: -$69.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $73.69
Potential payout: $90.43
Potential profit: $16.74
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $4.06

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 82.1%
Current value: $71.13
Potential payout: $86.69
Potential profit: $15.56
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $4.38

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $19.89
Potential payout: $21.51
Potential profit: $1.61
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$0.11

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $187.59

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $173.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.77

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.78

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.87

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.89

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.14

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$14.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$17.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$19.67

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20.41

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$47.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$55.06

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$65.11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$96.09

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$371.14

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Yes 77% 3.9 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

No 93% 21.51 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

No 77% 86.69 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Yes 77% 86.53 shares
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Yes 30.2% 155.66 shares
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Yes 17.4% 401.77 shares
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Yes 48% 156.08 shares
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Yes 46% 162.86 shares
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Yes 59% 162.86 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Yes 65.7% 565.23 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 371.51 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Yes 57.7% 336.56 shares