No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.53K
- Potential profit
- $6.53K
- User PnL
- -$1.55K
Polymarket Trader
PolCsf
0xfd88805b5206417d66127ffd96679e22c0794037
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $129.2
- Realized PnL
- $18.29K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.68K
- Potential profit
- $2.68K
- User PnL
- -$615.51
Up position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.82K
- Potential profit
- $1.82K
- User PnL
- -$569.83
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.27K
- Potential profit
- $1.27K
- User PnL
- -$979.82
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$360
Y
Yes position
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.3%
- Current value
- $123
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $876.99
- Multiplier
- 8.13x
- User PnL
- $58
Yes position
Will there be a 1v5 ace clutch in the BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 playoffs?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $700
- User PnL
- -$24.13
No position
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $82 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $664
- Potential profit
- $664
- User PnL
- -$396.58
No position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $588
- Potential profit
- $588
- User PnL
- -$454.36
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$420.32
Yes position
Will flameZ be the highest-rated player at BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $493.9
- Potential profit
- $493.9
- User PnL
- -$3.31
No position
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $392
- Potential profit
- $392
- User PnL
- -$266.85
Yes position
Will a player finish a BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 play-offs map with over 40 kills?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $245
- Potential profit
- $245
- User PnL
- -$10.49
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.6T and 0.9T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $6.2
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $193.8
- Multiplier
- 32.26x
- User PnL
- -$65.8
Yes position
Will the winning team not lose a single map throughout BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130.01
- Potential profit
- $130.01
- User PnL
- -$2.82
Yes position
Will there be a reverse sweep in the BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 grand final?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$2.11
Yes position
Will AD+PD win the third-most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.86
- Potential profit
- $32.86
- User PnL
- -$10.19
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$5.3
Yes position
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.01
- Potential profit
- $6.01
- User PnL
- -$1.23
No position
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.42
- Potential profit
- $1.42
- User PnL
- -$0.92
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.4K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.24K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85K
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $745.31
Down position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $704.43
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $674.59
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $646.26
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $531.58
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $463.92
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $328.17
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $289.08
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $285
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $280
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $264
Yes position
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.85
Yes position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.83
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.29
Yes position
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.28
Yes position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $50
No position
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $39.55
No position
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $68 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 0.7% 2,205.28 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 99.5% 6,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 79% 2,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 84.1% 500 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 93% 3,500 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 85% 3,500 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes 15% 1,799.96 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 95% 1,500 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes 36% 583.42 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes 77% 2,250 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No 62.7% 999.99 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?Yes 7% 6,987.25 shares