No position
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $75.43
- Potential profit
- $75.43
- User PnL
- -$1.06
Polymarket Trader
0xFd9c1AA7A2b8410F7Ead907A7353fe3D6AbFe0B2-1763677501277
0xfd9c1aa7a2b8410f7ead907a7353fe3d6abfe0b2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0.98
- Realized PnL
- $27.64K
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $0.98
- Potential payout
- $3.84
- Potential profit
- $2.86
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $2
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.76K
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.46K
No position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.18K
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.26K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55K
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.15K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.21K
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $486.77
Yes position
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $252.8
Yes position
Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.96
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $40.16
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.73
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $28.6
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 6?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25.88
Yes position
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.23
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.42
Yes position
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.85
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.44
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.89
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.5
Yes position
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.63
Yes position
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.92
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on March 3?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 0.5% 5,250 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 0.5% 5,250 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 0.5% 5,219.95 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 3.1% 61.19 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 4.6% 3,091.45 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 5% 43.55 shares
- Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?Yes 2.2% 90 shares
- Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?Yes 88.7% 10,543.2 shares
- Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?Yes 90% 1.11 shares
- Starmer out by May 31, 2026?Yes 9.8% 10,379.5 shares
- Starmer out by May 19, 2026?Yes 2.2% 15,506.72 shares
- Starmer out by May 19, 2026?Yes 3.1% 20 shares