Y
Yes position
United Airlines (UAL) Q2 consolidated passenger load factor 83%-84%?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.1%
- Current value
- $9.18
- Potential payout
- $151.76
- Potential profit
- $142.58
- Multiplier
- 16.53x
- User PnL
- -$31.79
Polymarket Trader
baoliua
0xfd9c483fab5a6a3b3a25185de03a2c013adc88e6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.18
- Realized PnL
- $3.91
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Morocco position
Spread: France (-3.5)
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
FC Bayern München position
Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Vitality position
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Bucks
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Illinois Fighting Illini position
Penn Quakers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
FC Barcelona position
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
Colombia position
Spread: Ghana (-1.5)
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9AM ET
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 6AM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3PM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Arizona Wildcats position
LIU Sharks vs. Arizona Wildcats
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
KT Rolster position
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 12PM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 11?Yes 32% 0.27 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 91% 6.52 shares
- Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 98.9% 6.06 shares
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 95.8% 8.42 shares
- Spread: France (-3.5)Morocco 95.2% 10.5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5AM ETDown 99.8% 8.47 shares
- Spread: Ghana (-1.5)Colombia 97.7% 7.16 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?No 96% 7.29 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?No 96% 7.29 shares
- Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 98.3% 6.1 shares
- Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 98.4% 6.1 shares
- Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 98.7% 6.07 shares