No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11K
- Potential profit
- $11K
- User PnL
- -$11
Polymarket Trader
qianduoduoduo
0xfd9c7915741c1fd5cf2dbf7416297b3d8d307046
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $11.25
- Realized PnL
- $337.32
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.15K
- Potential profit
- $5.15K
- User PnL
- -$707.23
No position
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $816
- Potential profit
- $816
- User PnL
- -$36.72
Yes position
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $355
- Potential profit
- $355
- User PnL
- -$7.31
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $75
- User PnL
- -$65
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $11.25
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $0.75
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 6?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.11
No position
Fogo FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.5
No position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $51.56
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.72
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.71
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $19.21
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 11?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.39
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 8, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.13
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 11, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.06
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.6
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.4
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.68
Yes position
Will Opinion launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
Yes position
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.78
Yes position
Will Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Paradex launch a token by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.6% 288 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 95% 113.1 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No 98.8% 24.11 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No 99.3% 383.23 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?No 99.6% 1,100 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 14?No 99.2% 7.06 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 11?Yes 99% 152 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 11?Yes 99% 261 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 11?Yes 99.1% 400 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 11?Yes 98.9% 150 shares
- Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?Yes 99.9% 827.05 shares
- Will Opinion launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes 99.9% 254.88 shares