Polymarket Trader

parravicini777

0xfd9fc5645faa81d26d3a5ea2ff94fa719fb71540

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $24
Realized PnL: $405.73
Win rate: 79.2%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.57K
Potential profit: $9.57K
User PnL: -$91.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $454.55
Potential profit: $454.55
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.17
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.83

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $274.94
Potential profit: $274.94
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $238.83
Potential profit: $238.83
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 640-679 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.33
Potential payout: $203.94
Potential profit: $202.61
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$2.67

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 720-759 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $5.61
Potential payout: $175.3
Potential profit: $169.69
Multiplier: 31.25x
User PnL: -$5.39

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.41
Potential payout: $165.22
Potential profit: $164.81
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.59

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 680-719 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $2.22
Potential payout: $120.08
Potential profit: $117.86
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$1.78

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.39
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $110.72
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.61

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.6
Potential profit: $70.6
User PnL: -$9.57

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 760-799 tweets in June 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $59.63
Potential profit: $59.6
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.97

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.4%
Current value: $10.55
Potential payout: $57.47
Potential profit: $46.93
Multiplier: 5.45x
User PnL: $5.55

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.95
Potential profit: $54.95
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.2%
Current value: $3.3
Potential payout: $32.47
Potential profit: $29.17
Multiplier: 9.85x
User PnL: -$1.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.24
Potential profit: $22.24
User PnL: -$4.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $187.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9PM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $28.21

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.09

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.71

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.24

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.61

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.84

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.89

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 760-779 tweets in May 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.36

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in May 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.01

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.2% 500 shares
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.2% 500 shares
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.2% 500 shares
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.2% 1,000 shares
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1% 500 shares
Will Elon Musk post 760-799 tweets in June 2026?

Yes 8.4% 59.63 shares
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.9% 555.56 shares
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.1% 90.91 shares
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.1% 545.45 shares
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in July 2026?

Yes 0.9% 111.11 shares
Will Elon Musk post 720-759 tweets in July 2026?

Yes 5.8% 34.38 shares
Will Elon Musk post 720-759 tweets in July 2026?

Yes 7.5% 40.16 shares