Polymarket Trader

0xfda25871a79F6392a98Fb6e979601cD8958D48Cd-1730847469057

0xfda25871a79f6392a98fb6e979601cd8958d48cd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $156.77
Realized PnL: $672.59
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.17K
Potential profit: $1.17K
User PnL: -$608.03

Yes position

Databricks IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $79.27
Potential payout: $337.31
Potential profit: $258.04
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$135.65

No position

US bank failure by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $294.63
Potential profit: $294.63
User PnL: -$289.41

Yes position

Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 31%
Current value: $77.5
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $172.5
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: -$124.92

No position

Will Claude be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 10?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $176.04
Potential profit: $176.04
User PnL: -$70

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $225.81

Yes position

Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.14

Yes position

Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.32

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.24

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.64

No position

Will Trump say "N-Word" in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.5

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.76

Yes position

Will I Just Might - Bruno Mars be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.05

Yes position

Will Brian Armstrong say "Ethereum" 2+ times at the Coinbase product showcase on December 17?

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Yes position

Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.6

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.53

No position

Will Trump try to Fire Powell by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.63

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.79

Yes position

Will Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE" at the Big Game?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.67

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 23?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.59

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.65

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $5 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.83

Yes position

Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.58

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.08

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.99

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 28?

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.43

Yes position

Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.81

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48

Yes position

Will there be at least 20 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.46

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?

No 26.7% 74.92 shares
Will Claude be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 10?

No 46.8% 42.73 shares
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?

No 22.6% 220.89 shares
Will Claude be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 10?

No 37.5% 133.31 shares
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?

Yes 86.4% 753.11 shares
Will Trump say "N-Word" in February?

No 97% 316.86 shares
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?

Yes 99.9% 314.45 shares
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?

Yes 63.2% 158.2 shares
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?

Yes 64% 156.25 shares
Big Game: Player/HC to cry during National Anthem?

Yes 6% 33.34 shares
Bad Bunny wears a dress or skirt at the Big Game?

Yes 18% 111.11 shares
Will Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE" at the Big Game?

Yes 9% 222.22 shares