No position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $21.45
- Potential payout
- $26
- Potential profit
- $4.55
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Polymarket Trader
0xfda5...3f6b
0xfda533251abe673d7045fe873b61b62adcde3f6b
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $64.92
- Realized PnL
- -$9.08
- Win rate
- 57.1%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $1.41
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $23.59
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.59
Yes position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $17.5
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $2.61
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $15.39
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$6.39
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.4%
- Current value
- $8.91
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $8.09
- Multiplier
- 1.91x
- User PnL
- $1.34
Yes position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $2.45
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $11.55
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $4.42
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $8.58
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- -$0.78
No position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $6.3
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $0.7
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $1.71
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $4.29
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.6%
- Current value
- $5.13
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $0.87
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $4.07
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.93
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $3.95
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $1.05
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $6.09
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.6%
- Multiplier
- 2.10x
- User PnL
- $0.44
Yes position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.50x
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$15.68
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Yes 28.1% 6 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?No 83% 26 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 17% 14 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?No 90% 7 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 44.5% 17 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 71% 5 shares
- Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 10% 20 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 86.5% 6 shares
- Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?No 77% 10 shares
- Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?No 82% 5 shares
- Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?No 97% 7 shares
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No 90.3% 6 shares