No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $707.03
- Potential payout
- $836.72
- Potential profit
- $129.69
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$4.18
Polymarket Trader
0xfdb1...909a
0xfdb1e6e1a98448e02e9eb1e452020fa58677909a
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $722.87
- Realized PnL
- -$355.37
- Win rate
- 26.3%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $15.85
- Potential payout
- $304.74
- Potential profit
- $288.89
- Multiplier
- 19.23x
- User PnL
- -$1.83
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.39
Yes position
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.46
No position
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.04
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.89x
- User PnL
- $1.36
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 61.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.62x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.62
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.96
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.04
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.8
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.6%
- Multiplier
- 4.87x
- User PnL
- -$13.17
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$14.68
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16.54
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 75.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- -$21.72
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$27.39
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$252.28
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 83.5% 207.23 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 1.6% 565.02 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 85.1% 500.78 shares
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 5.8% 1,500 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?No 98.7% 592.1 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 30% 136.14 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 69% 95.3 shares
- Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?Yes 19.2% 461.37 shares
- Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?No 80.2% 574.15 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 29% 78.02 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 29% 309.22 shares
- Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?Yes 19.2% 509.16 shares