Y
Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $5.9K
- Potential payout
- $11.34K
- Potential profit
- $5.45K
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $226.88
Polymarket Trader
kman1000
0xfdb5049c3fc1ecf35b77ef1732c9404157b96be1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.9K
- Realized PnL
- -$9.3K
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$3.4K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.75K
- Potential profit
- $1.75K
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $812.96
- Potential profit
- $812.96
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $567.41
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $199.26
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168.44
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $98
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.5
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.05
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.64K
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.79K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 50% 128.67 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 94.4% 8,050.41 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 17% 17,142.85 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14No 76% 2,364.69 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?No 99.7% 1,014.23 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14No 74% 3,128.56 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?No 68% 564.97 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 8?No 0.2% 10,000 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?No 84% 94.25 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?No 98.5% 162.6 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 70% 7,104.52 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No 47% 10,638.92 shares