Polymarket Trader

lifeis7

0xfdb61a164ee89f5a93918cf2929db1de46c9aa70

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $237.05
Realized PnL: $65.67
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $228.68
Potential profit: $228.68
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $92.78
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $18.33
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$7.22

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $99.44
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $11.67
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$0.56

No position

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 55.4%
Current value: $24.71
Potential payout: $44.64
Potential profit: $19.93
Multiplier: 1.81x
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $20.12
Potential payout: $23.53
Potential profit: $3.41
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.99
Potential profit: $22.99
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.99
Potential profit: $10.99
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.46
Potential profit: $1.46
User PnL: -$0.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 74°F or higher on April 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.13
Potential profit: $1.13
User PnL: -$0.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.26

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $9.36

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.71

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.74

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.78

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

Yes position

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.26

Yes position

Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C or below on March 23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.97

Yes position

Will Avispa Fukuoka win on 2026-04-11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.82

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.36

Crazy Raccoon position

Overwatch: T1 vs Crazy Raccoon (BO4) - OCS Korea Stage 1 Playoffs

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.27

No position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.77

Yes position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C or below on April 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.77

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.62

Yes position

Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

Carlos Alcaraz position

Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Valentin Vacherot

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Anthropic CEO arrested?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

Wolves position

Honor of Kings: Wolves vs Hero JiuJing (BO7) - Honor of Kings Challenger Cup Stage 1

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 2?

Yes 98.9% 212.36 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Yes 90% 111.11 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 90% 111.11 shares
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 56% 44.64 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 85% 23.53 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?

No 43.5% 22.99 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 76% 19.74 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 96.3% 458.42 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 93.8% 458.42 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14?

Yes 75% 13.33 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 14?

Yes 91% 5.49 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 14?

Yes 97% 5.15 shares